BoJ Hikes, BTC Rallies
Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes tweeted hours before decision: ‘Don’t fight the BOJ: -ve real rates is the explicit policy. $JPY to 200, and $BTC to a milly.’ Hayes was RIGHT. He understood what market missed: BoJ policy is STILL loose in real terms. Negative real rates = currency debasement = capital flows to hard assets like Bitcoin. The rate hike was BULLISH because it confirmed BoJ can’t actually tighten without breaking Japanese economy.
The Whipsaw - CPI Turns Nightmare
Markets realized the CPI is FAKE, Fed rate cut odds DIDN'T BUDGE (still 24% for January), and BTC gave back ALL gains plus more. Now at $86K heading into BoJ tomorrow—the REAL catalyst. Wednesday's $457M ETF inflows reversed meaning. Whales who bought Wednesday got REKT today. This market PUNISHES conviction. Tomorrow's BoJ decision will decide: $70K breakdown or $95K breakout.