XRP Trade of the Week
XRP ETF EXPLOSION: RECORD $46M single-day inflows January 6th (highest since launch). Total XRP ETF assets now $1.65B. 30 consecutive days positive inflows through December with ZERO outflows—fastest crypto ETF to $1B after Bitcoin. Exchange balances dropped to 8-YEAR LOWS (1.6B tokens from 3.76B October). Supply squeeze playing out LIVE.
• Supply shock: Exchange balances 8-year lows (1.6B from 3.76B). ETFs locking supply. Spring-loaded for explosion.
• Retail capitulation: Sold at $1.85, XRP now $2.40. Classic bottom signal—pessimism was BUY.
• Institutional quality: Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, Canary = pension funds, endowments, sovereign wealth. This is SERIOUS money.
Last Trading Week
Bitcoin has 18 hours to rally 7.1% and avoid its first-ever negative post-halving year. The technical setup is BRUTAL: 1. ETF outflows accelerating (-$589M last week vs +$457M week before) 2. Perfect correlation with Nasdaq (down when tech down) 3. Year-end tax harvesting (selling losers for tax benefits) 4. US session consistently reversing Asian gains 5. $90K rejected for the 7th time in December
$27Bn Option Expiry - Santa Rally Time?
Friday December 26: $27 BILLION in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expire on Deribit ($23.6B Bitcoin + $3.8B Ethereum). Currently, dealers are net SHORT CALLS. Dealers LOSE if BTC stays at $89K. They WIN if BTC goes to $96K. This creates gravitational pull UPWARD.
The Whipsaw - CPI Turns Nightmare
Markets realized the CPI is FAKE, Fed rate cut odds DIDN'T BUDGE (still 24% for January), and BTC gave back ALL gains plus more. Now at $86K heading into BoJ tomorrow—the REAL catalyst. Wednesday's $457M ETF inflows reversed meaning. Whales who bought Wednesday got REKT today. This market PUNISHES conviction. Tomorrow's BoJ decision will decide: $70K breakdown or $95K breakout.